Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.541442 0.640045 0.749906 0.881151 1.033441 1.204341 1.410414
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.441854 0.577422 0.742611 0.957774 1.229606 1.560508 1.992625
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.392137 0.560888 0.783629 1.096764 1.522816 2.079054 2.856453
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.317562 0.495716 0.749645 1.133466 1.693339 2.473384 3.633802
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.271161 0.459246 0.747092 1.212067 1.934493 3.001465 4.679352
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.230429 0.421917 0.735444 1.274558 2.162856 3.547329 5.838014
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.190328 0.376047 0.700693 1.293441 2.326232 4.019667 6.958039
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.158523 0.336961 0.668971 1.310543 2.488500 4.513215 8.184127
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.138899 0.315988 0.665018 1.375417 2.743220 5.196253 9.822043
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.131409 0.317664 0.704040 1.527305 3.179784 6.254918 12.254472
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.116039 0.298615 0.697736 1.588699 3.453821 7.055789 14.325944
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.098477 0.270026 0.665397 1.590126 3.608550 7.652084 16.090643
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.079130 0.232524 0.606883 1.527496 3.628610 8.004658 17.464737
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.064404 0.202569 0.559130 1.479609 3.672486 8.412446 19.008229
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.058391 0.194740 0.563859 1.556946 4.010111 9.480738 22.057227
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.048219 0.171714 0.524288 1.517133 4.069186 9.957418 23.912147
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.042628 0.160982 0.515252 1.553930 4.318718 10.890414 26.882777
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.037609 0.150521 0.504588 1.584388 4.557840 11.831690 29.989755
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.032152 0.136700 0.480700 1.573170 4.687713 12.532884 32.629671
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.027728 0.125072 0.460696 1.569108 4.836165 13.298850 35.517365
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.025278 0.120199 0.461329 1.627503 5.166803 14.561411 39.760592
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.025059 0.124372 0.493442 1.790618 5.820674 16.728238 46.487800
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.022910 0.119626 0.493518 1.851135 6.185858 18.187067 51.584038